Are you ready or some football picks? Jay’s Plays is back for the season! First we want to welcome all our new readers from Golf News Net. Here is a primer on how this column works:
1. Ernesto the Prediction Iguana makes all the picks. If you have any complaints about his results, just leave a message with your phone number. Ernesto will personally return all calls between the hours of 2:00 and 6:00 a.m.
2. We do teasers here, so you get to move the line six points either way in your favor, but you have to hit (or tie) both picks. “But that’s harder,” you say…not if you play smart. Here’s how…
3. Don’t bet every game. Remember Ace Rothstein from Casino? He didn’t bet all 100 games on the card – he’d bet the two that were winners. So Rule 1 is play SMART…losers chase action…winners stay cool and win one game at a time. We pick three games each week usually…sometimes two sometimes four…but normally, it’s Green Light, Amber Alert, Red Zome.
4. Stay away from most inter-divisional match-ups! You never know what you’re going to get week-to-week, and teamss tend to know each other too well. Of course, when you do find a mis-match, exploit it ruthlessly, which leads us to…
5. Be the playground bully. Bet against crappy teams even more than you bet on good teams. Example – Cleveland! For years, they’ve been an ATM machine for you!
6. Don’t forget the Over/Under! It’s your friend in a week where the lines are too close for comfort.
7. If you’re not 100% confident, DON’T BET THE GAME!
8. Bet ultra-conservatively the first five weeks. That’s when the most upsets happen (outside week 16). We break that rule this week…so here’s our litmus test. We do not start making picks until Week 5. We wait to see teams begin to identify themselves.
9. Stay away from 7.5 and 3.5 lines…As Mike Mosely once said, “Danger Will Robinson!”
10. Bow to the power of Jay and Enresto the Prediction Iguana! Thank us as you clean out your bookie!
