In a move only an actuary could hate, the PGA Tour changed the format of the FedEx Cup this year, translating a convoluted “points”system of scoring to the “score-to-par” system used every week. This also solves the pesky problem of having dual winners as we did in the past: someone wins the Tour Championship, but someone else wins the $10,000,000.
So Justin Thomas’s stellar year and excellent previous two weeks play will start him at 10-under. Everyone else will begin the Tour Championship as follows:
Justin Thomas -10
Patrick Cantlay -8
Brooks Koepka -7
Patrick Reed -6
Rory McIlroy -5
Jon Rahm -4
Matt Kuchar -4
Xander Schauffele -4
Webb Simpson -4
Abraham Ancer -4
Gary Woodland -3
Tony Finau -3
Adam Scott -3
Dustin Johnson -3
Hideki Matsuyama -3
Paul Casey -2
Justin Rose -2
Brandt Snedeker -2
Rickie Fowler -2
Kevin Kisner -2
Marc Leishman – 1
Tommy Fleetwood -1
Corey Conners -1
Sungjae Im -1
Chez Reavie -1
Bryson DeChambeau E
Louis Oosthuizen E
Charles Howell III E
Lucas Glover E
Jason Kokrak E
Here are the odds for each individual player to take home the Tour Championship and the cool $10,000,000. Remember that we use the odds from VegasInsider.com. Note also that it’s a money line. If you want to play Justin Thomas, you bet $100 to win $200. If you want Brooks Koepka, it’s bet $100 to win $600. Rory McIlroy is bet $100 to win $1200, and so forth. The three best picks on the board appear to be Koepka at +600, Patrick Reed at $1100, Fand of course JT himself. Sleeper picks that could pay off big time include Rickie Fowler and Justin Rose at +6000 and Webb Simpson at $2500
Justin Thomas +200
Patrick Cantlay +450
Brooks Koepka +600
Patrick Reed +1100
Rory McIlroy +1200
Jon Rahm +1500
Xander Scahuffele +2200
Webb Simpson +2500
Dustin Johnson +3000
Adam Scott +3000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Matt Kuchar +4000
Abraham Ancer +4000
Tony Finau +5000
Rickie Fowler +6000
Justin Rose +6000
Brandt Snedeker +7500
Paul Casey +7500
Gary Woodland +8000
Kevin Kisner +9000
Tommy Fleetwood +10000
Marc Leishman +15000
Sungjae Im +15000
Corey Conners +15000
Louis Oosthuizen +17500
Bryson DeChambeau +20000
Lucas Glover +25000
Jason Kokrak +25000
Chez Reavie +30000
Charles Howell III +30000
