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Jay’s Plays 2016 NFL Picks – Week 6 Predictions and Betting Guide

ERNESTO WENT 3-3 LAST WEEK TO OPEN THE SEASON
ERNESTO WENT 3-3 LAST WEEK TO OPEN THE SEASON

It was a 3-3 week for Ernesto the Prediction Iguana, as he got snake-bitten twice in one game when the Ravens laid an egg against the hapless Redskins. Also, what the hell, Cincinnati? That was dismal the wa they laid down against the Cowboys. On that note, Hey Dallas: Tony Who?

Anyway, here’s this week’s picks. Cash ’em in. Home team in CAPS. All lines from www.vegasinsider.com. We do teasers here; mix and match as you like. YMMV.

GREEN LIGHT

PATRIOTS -1/2 vs. bengals
BILLS -1 vs. 49ers

Brady’s first home game since the DeflateGate suspension will be a wide-open shootout. The Bangles…err…Bengals can’t handle a shootout, even with Vontaze Burfect. Look for Adam Jones to take a stupid penalty, get burned deep, and go nowhere on kick returns – a reverse trifecta for a guy long past his sell-by date.

The Bills will show the continued resurgence of the defense, while the offense will grind out solid, ball control drives. West coast teams don’t travel well to east coast venues for 1:00 games.

AMBER ALERT

steelers -1 at DOLPHINS
PACKERS +1/2 vs. cowboys

The Steelers can have road lapses, and the Fish did beat the Pats in September, but they still seem to be two teams a full level of talent apart. As an aside, can Pittsburgh have Mike Wallace back? Oh wait…he’s with the Ravens now…

Tough to go against Dallas seeing as how that kid QB is going all Ben Roethlisberger circa 2004 on everyone. But Lambeau in the cold will be unlike anything he’s ever seen. Plus the Packers handled the Giants rather easily.

RED ZONE

falcons +12 at SEAHAWKS
BILLS-niners UNDER 52-1/2

Seattle is so loud and disruptive on a visiting offense, but Matty Ice getting 12 points is tasty.

Again, the Buffalo defense should corral the Niners, while the Buffalo offense is competent, but not explosive.